Having a closer look at the ABFA statistics for the factoring and invoice discounting industry for the first quarter of 2009 I was struck by one seemingly insignificant statistic that the number of clients with annual sales in excess of £100m had dropped from 248 to 213
I wonder what happened to these 35 companies? Some may have shrunk to a stage where their turnover was less than £100m so came into a lower category but that is fairly unlikely. Some more may have ceased using their invoice discounting facilities replacing them with something else but again I think it unlikely which leaves the worrying fact that 35 companies turning over in excess of £100m each have gone bust in the first quarter of this year.
Assuming that each of those companies were turning over the bare minimum of £100m and their debts turned in the ABFA average of 59 days the total outstanding debts of these companies would be in the region of £650m and assuming an average investment of 70% there would be factors funds invested of £455m
Most of us who have been involved in the “collect out” of bust clients will know that there is often a shortfall in collections as the disputes start to crawl out of the woodwork and the clients customers go bust and there is a good likelihood that losses may be incurred in that situation.
I guess that due to the size of the facilities these will all be bank factors involved and I wonder what sort of losses will be involved when collecting out an investment of at least £455m from 35 bust clients. My guess is that some of the bank factoring companies will be sitting on potentially enormous losses at the moment
Posted under Factoring, Invoice discounting
This post was written by Ian on June 5, 2009
